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April 21, 2014 -- Today's Open Face Chinese Poker hand is Pineapple-OFC. For complete rules and scoring specifics see our Rules Page. Open Face Odds observes variable-value Fantasyland for Pineapple, so front-row QQ qualifies for 13-card FL, KK front is 14-card FL, and AA+ is 15-card FL.

The hand dealt is A56TA.

Three alternate lines are taken for an out of position player, heads up. The hand scores are calculated three times: 1) Royalties accrued + scoop equity estimate + Fantasyland EV; 2) Against the actual opponent hand it faced; 3) In the case of an opponent foul. Comments for each alternate line are made while the hand is being played and are notated below the sets.

FIRST FIVE





The double-flush setup. Odds to catch a K,Q,J, or T of hearts: 71%. Odds to catch runner-runner for any heart flush: 80%.

This set has lowered expectations for Fantasyland because high broadway cards may be needed in the back row in the case of the double-flush coming. On the other hand, royalty and scoop equity are improved if the flush arrives. This might be a good set to counteract a Fantasyland player's expected value.

Going for full house equity and Fantasyland. Any low-mid-range cards will be set in middle, any A or T in back, any other broadway in front. Also a safe start against an aggro opponent.

Odds to make a full house in back: 38%. Odds to two-pair the middle: 49%. Odds to catch running QQ or KK in front: 27%.


The aggro line. It's obvious what the plan is here, and in some ways it makes decision-making simple, as low-mid-range cards (2-8) will go in the middle, and mid-high-range cards (8-K) will go in back.

Higher risk of fouling, and higher overall expected value with AA Fantasyland valued at 12+ points.


PULL 1





Plan working so far. Odds to complete heart flush: 93% with 9 outs. Odds to runner-runner club flush: 75% with 10 outs.

K in front and 7 middle. Odds to runner-runner two pair in middle: 68%. Odds for two pair in back: 75%. Odds to catch a K in front: 56%.

Plan is moving forward. Odds to runner-runner two pair in middle: 68%. Odds for two pair in back: 42%.


PULL 2





Odds to complete heart flush: 87% fully live, 72% with 3 dead outs. Same odds for the club flush.

As you can see, the front row is looking weak, but that was a potential concession made early on when the decision was made to go for the double-flush.

With no A or T appearing in the first two pulls, it's unlikely a full house is on its way, so the decision is made to keep the Fantasyland-go alive by two-pairing the back, and hoping for a two-pair middle with a K.

Not the best pull, but not terrible. Setting the deuces in back allows for a K or T to make a two-pair sub-hand that can support a middle-row two pair hand.

Odds to runner-runner two pair in the middle: 51% fully live, 36% with two dead outs. Odds for two-pair+ in the back row: 83% fully live, 72% with two dead outs.


PULL 3





A small sweat for the heart flush, but the odds to catch are still at 69% fully live, 52% with 3 dead outs. The J goes in front as a back-door royalty hedge.

A pair made in middle; this play continues to be safe from fouling. However, it may also be very scoopable.

Odds to catch a 6 or 7: 52% fully live.

Odds for a 6 or 7 to arrive: 52% if fully live, 37% with two dead outs. Odds for a two-pair+ back row: 64% fully live, 52% with two dead outs.


PULL 4





Foul.

A 3-flush out of position is 80% likely to complete, so the play was correct. It is reasonable to assume more than one heart will arrive in 12 cards. However, 1 in 5 times it won't get there, as illustrated here. 4 out of 5 times, this play scored 11 points in this scenario.


SCORING (GENERAL)
ROYALTIES: 0
SCOOP EQUITY: -6
FL EV: 0
TOTAL SCORE: -6

SCORING V. ACTUAL HAND
ROYALTY EQUITY: -2
SCOOP EQUITY: -6
FL EV: 0
TOTAL SCORE: -8

SCORING V. FOULED HAND
ROYALTY EQUITY: 0
SCOOP EQUITY: 0
FL EV: 0
TOTAL SCORE: 0

The conservative set was safe, but as I mentioned earlier, scoopable. The pair of 5's in the middle was good in this scenario, but won't be very often.


SCORING (GENERAL)
ROYALTIES: 0
SCOOP EQUITY: -6
FL EV: 0
TOTAL SCORE: -6

SCORING V. ACTUAL HAND
ROYALTY EQUITY: -2
SCOOP EQUITY: -1
FL EV: 0
TOTAL SCORE: -3

SCORING V. FOULED HAND
ROYALTY EQUITY: 0
SCOOP EQUITY: +6
FL EV: 0
TOTAL SCORE: +6

Foul.

A highly aggressive set given the contour of the hand. The runout was pretty bad, but it was a high-risk play that required run-good to succeed. Against a high-foul-percentage opponent or with a big lead in a match, the play might be justified. Another pair to back the AA would have been a better starting hand to try this play with.


SCORING (GENERAL)
ROYALTIES: 0
SCOOP EQUITY: -6
FL EV: 0
TOTAL SCORE: -6

SCORING V. ACTUAL HAND
ROYALTY EQUITY: -2
SCOOP EQUITY: -6
FL EV: 0
TOTAL SCORE: -8

SCORING V. FOULED HAND
ROYALTY EQUITY: 0
SCOOP EQUITY: 0
FL EV: 0
TOTAL SCORE: 0



NEXT ALT LINE: 2-7 Pineapple



Pineapple Odds Charts here: Downloads Page

*SCORING DETAILS

The royalty # is an aggregate of all 3 rows (see scoring chart here). The scoop equity # gives the likelihood of a scoop or being scooped, a range of 12 points from +6 to -6. The FL EV is Fantasyland Expected Value; in other words how many points you will generally score in the Fantasyland round if you qualify. Open Face Odds works with a variable-value system for Fantasyland in Pineapple OFC. At this time we value Pineapple FL at 13-card: 2.3 points, 14-card: 6.2 points, 15-card: 12.4 points.

To run your own simulations or just for practice, try Open Face Odds' training modules, where you can practice setting for Pineapple, Turbo, Fantasyland, and other situations. Click any of these links to find a module:

Pineapple v. 14-card Fantasyland
Pineapple v. 15-card Fantasyland
Pineapple Heads Up
Standard OFC v. 13-card Fantasyland
Turbo Heads Up
Training Page Home
TRAINING MODULES









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